Obama proposes to spend 3% of GDP to get a 2% boost - no thank you.
Obama's big jobs plan, according to economists at Goldman, Moody's, and JPMorgan, will boost GDP 2%. What happened to the 1.5 multiplier in the 2009 mega stimulus, which never materialized. The 2009 plan projected further that unemployment would not go over 8% with the ARRA. Notice the bold claims from the administration are not quite so specific. Expect to hear the stories of roads to nowhere, pet projects, programs that cost $400,000 per job, and an unemployment rate that does not go down to the claimed 7%. This program will NOT create 1.9 million jobs and unemployment will go up when labor force participation is factored in.
Government jobs plans don't materially create jobs on net. This plan spends over 3% of GDP to get a hoped for 2% GDP boost – there is no money back guarantee. We are borrowing the economy toward insolvency. The ability to print money does not change this.
References:
Bloomberg Article
Saturday, September 10, 2011
Thursday, September 8, 2011
Greek Bonds
Greek bonds are priced in expected recovery - not a borrowing rate.
Here is a 3 year chart of 1yr Greek Government Bonds:
Whither thy Euro?
Here is a 3 year chart of 1yr Greek Government Bonds:
Whither thy Euro?
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
Giant Phillipine Salty
Video of a very large salt water crocodile captured alive in the Phillipines
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